Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.021184 0.023412 0.025636 0.028017 0.030487 0.032971 0.035653
2025-02-23 0.016772 0.020267 0.023879 0.027862 0.032105 0.036470 0.041278
2025-03-02 0.014053 0.018229 0.022659 0.027647 0.033055 0.038698 0.044991
2025-03-09 0.012100 0.016775 0.021854 0.027676 0.034079 0.040835 0.048440
2025-03-16 0.010164 0.015147 0.020699 0.027179 0.034401 0.042100 0.050838
2025-03-23 0.008872 0.014140 0.020144 0.027255 0.035270 0.043886 0.053726
2025-03-30 0.007532 0.012962 0.019304 0.026937 0.035636 0.045062 0.055897
2025-04-06 0.006291 0.011799 0.018407 0.026488 0.035799 0.045967 0.057723
2025-04-13 0.004840 0.010236 0.016943 0.025311 0.035080 0.045844 0.058373
2025-04-20 0.004326 0.009864 0.016897 0.025770 0.036203 0.047754 0.061245
2025-04-27 0.003554 0.009062 0.016269 0.025503 0.036460 0.048666 0.062986
2025-05-04 0.002775 0.008159 0.015463 0.024982 0.036392 0.049187 0.064268
2025-05-11 0.002248 0.007626 0.015175 0.025161 0.037235 0.050847 0.066953
2025-05-18 0.001669 0.006931 0.014654 0.025055 0.037758 0.052169 0.069293
2025-05-25 0.001160 0.006239 0.014080 0.024844 0.038123 0.053279 0.071365
2025-06-01 0.000801 0.005726 0.013718 0.024873 0.038754 0.054679 0.073748
2025-06-08 0.000419 0.004994 0.012988 0.024398 0.038752 0.055326 0.075257
2025-06-15 0.000221 0.004585 0.012698 0.024471 0.039399 0.056712 0.077594
2025-06-22 0.000054 0.004029 0.012142 0.024168 0.039566 0.057524 0.079260
2025-06-29 NaN 0.003460 0.011512 0.023739 0.039559 0.058116 0.080660
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002657 0.010406 0.022617 0.038662 0.057636 0.080808
2025-07-13 NaN 0.002526 0.010438 0.023054 0.039707 0.059447 0.083591
2025-07-20 NaN 0.002148 0.009988 0.022799 0.039867 0.060198 0.085139